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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 65.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 14.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-0 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Ajax |
| 14.97% | 19.75% | 65.28% |
| Both teams to score 52.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.04% | 41.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.63% | 64.37% |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.39% | 40.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.79% | 77.2% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.93% | 12.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.41% | 37.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Ajax |
| 1-0 @ 4.42% 2-1 @ 4.21% 2-0 @ 1.99% 3-2 @ 1.34% 3-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.75% Total : 14.97% | 1-1 @ 9.34% 0-0 @ 4.9% 2-2 @ 4.45% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.75% | 0-2 @ 10.95% 0-1 @ 10.36% 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-3 @ 7.72% 1-3 @ 6.96% 0-4 @ 4.08% 1-4 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 3.14% 0-5 @ 1.73% 2-4 @ 1.66% 1-5 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.56% Total : 65.27% |