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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 38%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Twente |
| 38% | 26.35% | 35.65% |
| Both teams to score 53.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.31% | 51.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.53% | 73.47% |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.5% | 26.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.31% | 61.69% |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.14% | 27.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.53% | 63.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Twente |
| 1-0 @ 9.81% 2-1 @ 8.32% 2-0 @ 6.51% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.27% Total : 38% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.43% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 6.03% 1-3 @ 3.41% 0-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.65% |