Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Sep 30, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz
1 - 4
PSV

Gorenc Stankovic (55')
Kiteishvili (30'), Gazibegovic (47'), Gorenc Stankovic (57')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sangare (32'), Zahavi (51'), Max (74'), Vertessen (78')
Boscagli (50'), Sangare (57'), Gakpo (64')
Sangare (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sturm Graz and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.52%) and 1-3 (5.06%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
Sturm Graz	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
36.2%	22.27%	41.53%

Both teams to score 68.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.73%

32.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.12%

53.88%

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.36%

18.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.05%

49.94%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.63%

16.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.01%

45.99%

Score Analysis

Sturm Graz 36.2%

PSV Eindhoven 41.53%

Draw 22.27%

Sturm Graz	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 7.79% 1-0 @ 5.12% 3-1 @ 4.36% 2-0 @ 4.31% 3-2 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.01% 4-3 @ 1% Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.2%	1-1 @ 9.27% 2-2 @ 7.05% 0-0 @ 3.05% 3-3 @ 2.38% Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.27%	1-2 @ 8.39% 0-1 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 5.06% 0-2 @ 5% 2-3 @ 4.25% 0-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 2.29% 2-4 @ 1.93% 0-4 @ 1.36% 3-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.63% Total : 41.53%

How you voted: Sturm Graz vs PSV

Sturm Graz

21.3%

Draw

12.3%

PSV Eindhoven

66.5%