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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for NEC had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | NEC |
45.1% | 24.6% | 30.3% |
Both teams to score 57.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.45% | 45.55% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.12% | 67.88% |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.71% | 20.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.35% | 52.65% |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.75% | 28.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.04% | 63.96% |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | NEC |
2-1 @ 9.22% 1-0 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 7.29% 3-1 @ 4.9% 3-0 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.84% Total : 45.1% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 5.73% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-1 @ 7.25% 0-2 @ 4.58% 1-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.73% Total : 30.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 26 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 81 | 13 | 68 | 72 |
2 | Feyenoord | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 66 | 21 | 45 | 62 |
3 | FC Twente | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 53 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 49 |
5 | Ajax | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 41 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 39 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 37 |
8 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 36 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 34 |
10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Heerenveen | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 31 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 30 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 28 |
14 | Heracles | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 26 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 57 | -18 | 22 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 22 |
17 | Vitesse | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 53 | -32 | 17 |
18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 67 | -41 | 14 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |