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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 61.18%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 17.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-0 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 17.83% | 20.99% | 61.18% |
| Both teams to score 54.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.8% | 42.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.39% | 64.6% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.8% | 37.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.01% | 73.98% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.69% | 13.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.84% | 40.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 1-0 @ 4.9% 2-1 @ 4.88% 2-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 1.62% 3-1 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.4% Total : 17.83% | 1-1 @ 9.87% 0-0 @ 4.95% 2-2 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.99% | 0-2 @ 10.06% 0-1 @ 9.99% 1-2 @ 9.96% 0-3 @ 6.77% 1-3 @ 6.69% 0-4 @ 3.41% 1-4 @ 3.38% 2-3 @ 3.31% 2-4 @ 1.67% 0-5 @ 1.38% 1-5 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.21% Total : 61.17% |