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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Cambuur |
| 38.24% | 25.03% | 36.73% |
| Both teams to score 57.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.21% | 45.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.89% | 68.1% |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.33% | 23.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.23% | 57.77% |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.52% | 24.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.08% | 58.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-1 @ 8.47% 1-0 @ 8.35% 2-0 @ 6.01% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.24% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.79% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 25.02% | 1-2 @ 8.27% 0-1 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 3.88% 2-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 0.98% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.91% Total : 36.73% |