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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.35%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 34.06% | 23.69% | 42.25% |
| Both teams to score 62.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.16% | 39.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.8% | 62.2% |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.81% | 23.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.92% | 57.08% |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.82% | 19.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.14% | 50.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-1 @ 7.85% 1-0 @ 6.5% 2-0 @ 4.75% 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.12% Total : 34.06% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 6.48% 0-0 @ 4.45% 3-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 8.86% 0-1 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 6.06% 1-3 @ 4.88% 2-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 3.34% 1-4 @ 2.01% 2-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.34% Total : 42.25% |