Eredivisie | Gameweek 5

Sep 19, 2021 at 3.45pm UK

Polman Stadion

Heracles
3 - 2
AZ

Sierhuis (45+1'), Burgzorg (72'), Vloet (90+3')
Vloet (49'), Quagliata (50'), Burgzorg (50')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gudmundsson (19'), Reijnders (89')
Midtsjo (90+2')
Clasie (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Heracles	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
23.02%	24.56%	52.42%

Both teams to score 51.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.31%

50.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.4%

72.59%

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.26%

36.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.47%

73.53%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.69%

19.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.94%

51.06%

Score Analysis

Heracles 23.02%

AZ Alkmaar 52.42%

Draw 24.56%

Heracles	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 7.1% 2-1 @ 5.85% 2-0 @ 3.56% 3-1 @ 1.95% 3-2 @ 1.61% 3-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.76% Total : 23.02%	1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 7.09% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.56%	0-1 @ 11.66% 1-2 @ 9.61% 0-2 @ 9.59% 1-3 @ 5.27% 0-3 @ 5.26% 2-3 @ 2.64% 1-4 @ 2.17% 0-4 @ 2.16% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.98% Total : 52.42%

How you voted: Heracles vs AZ

Heracles

18.8%

Draw

12.5%

AZ Alkmaar

68.8%

Heracles3 - 2AZ

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

How you voted: Heracles vs AZ

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Heracles
3 - 2
AZ