Europa League

Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Aug 26, 2021 at 7.15pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
2 - 1
Celtic

(Celtic win 3-2 on aggregate)

Aboukhlal (6'), Starfelt (26' og.)
Aboukhlal (39'), Koopmeiners (66'), Gudmundsson (90')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Furuhashi (3')
McGregor (58'), Montgomery (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between AZ Alkmaar and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Celtic win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Celtic
41.17%	23.4%	35.43%

Both teams to score 63.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.86%

38.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.59%

60.41%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.05%

18.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.54%

50.46%

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.33%

21.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.19%

54.81%

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 41.17%

Celtic 35.43%

Draw 23.4%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Celtic
2-1 @ 8.69% 1-0 @ 6.83% 2-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 4.82% 3-2 @ 3.68% 3-0 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.47% Total : 41.17%	1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 6.64% 0-0 @ 4.11% 3-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.4%	1-2 @ 7.99% 0-1 @ 6.28% 0-2 @ 4.8% 1-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 3.39% 0-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.56% 2-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.43%

How you voted: AZ vs Celtic

AZ Alkmaar

26.8%

Draw

13.7%

Celtic

59.5%