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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 55.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heracles |
55.43% | 23.65% | 20.92% |
Both teams to score 51.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.73% | 49.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.67% | 71.32% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.37% | 17.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.78% | 48.22% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.02% | 37.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.25% | 74.75% |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heracles |
1-0 @ 11.62% 2-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 5.65% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-0 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.57% Total : 55.42% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 0-0 @ 6.69% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.65% | 0-1 @ 6.48% 1-2 @ 5.45% 0-2 @ 3.14% 1-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.53% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.56% Total : 20.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |