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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 55.44%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 55.44% | 22.24% | 22.31% |
| Both teams to score 57.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.51% | 41.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.11% | 63.88% |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.14% | 14.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.8% | 43.19% |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.73% | 32.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.24% | 68.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% 1-0 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 8.71% 3-1 @ 6.26% 3-0 @ 5.54% 3-2 @ 3.54% 4-1 @ 2.99% 4-0 @ 2.64% 4-2 @ 1.69% 5-1 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.93% Total : 55.44% | 1-1 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 5.58% 0-0 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 5.85% 0-1 @ 5.42% 0-2 @ 3.07% 1-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.51% Total : 22.31% |