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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for NEC had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitesse in this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Vitesse |
| 33.28% | 27.1% | 39.61% |
| Both teams to score 50.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.92% | 55.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.67% | 76.33% |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.97% | 31.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.66% | 67.34% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.82% | 27.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.41% | 62.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Vitesse |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 7.52% 2-0 @ 5.78% 3-1 @ 2.94% 3-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.91% Other @ 3.02% Total : 33.28% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.43% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 10.98% 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 7.16% 1-3 @ 3.64% 0-3 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.03% Total : 39.61% |