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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for NEC had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | NEC |
| 39.96% | 25.56% | 34.47% |
| Both teams to score 55.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.55% | 48.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.42% | 70.57% |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.04% | 23.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.8% | 58.19% |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.98% | 27.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.63% | 62.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | NEC |
| 1-0 @ 9.25% 2-1 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 6.61% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.95% Total : 39.96% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 8.47% 1-2 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.06% Total : 34.47% |