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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Groningen |
| 44.85% | 26.51% | 28.64% |
| Both teams to score 50.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.68% | 54.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.29% | 75.71% |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% | 24.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.58% | 58.42% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.05% | 33.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.37% | 70.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Groningen |
| 1-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 8.95% 2-0 @ 8.28% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.62% Total : 44.85% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 8.19% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 8.85% 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 4.78% 1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.31% Total : 28.64% |