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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 57.48%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 21.9% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 1-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Vitesse |
| 57.48% | 20.62% | 21.9% |
| Both teams to score 62.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.71% | 34.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.81% | 56.19% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.13% | 11.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.82% | 37.17% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.43% | 28.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.64% | 64.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% 2-0 @ 7.7% 1-0 @ 7.23% 3-1 @ 6.85% 3-0 @ 5.47% 3-2 @ 4.29% 4-1 @ 3.65% 4-0 @ 2.91% 4-2 @ 2.29% 5-1 @ 1.56% 5-0 @ 1.24% 5-2 @ 0.98% 4-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.7% Total : 57.48% | 1-1 @ 9.06% 2-2 @ 6.05% 0-0 @ 3.39% 3-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.62% | 1-2 @ 5.67% 0-1 @ 4.25% 0-2 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 2.53% 1-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.31% Total : 21.9% |