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Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2021 at 8pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Willem II

Ajax
5 - 0
Willem II

Antony (15', 23'), Martinez (18'), Klaassen (71'), Danilo (76')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Saddiki (56'), Yeboah (89'), Kohn (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 88.46%. A draw had a probability of 7.8% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 3.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.5%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (1.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawWillem II
88.46%7.8%3.74%
Both teams to score 48.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.8%20.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
61.59%38.4%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.17%2.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.09%12.91%
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.29%49.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.54%84.45%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 88.45%
    Willem II 3.74%
    Draw 7.8%
AjaxDrawWillem II
3-0 @ 10.65%
4-0 @ 9.51%
2-0 @ 8.95%
3-1 @ 7.45%
5-0 @ 6.79%
4-1 @ 6.65%
2-1 @ 6.26%
1-0 @ 5.01%
5-1 @ 4.75%
6-0 @ 4.04%
6-1 @ 2.83%
3-2 @ 2.6%
4-2 @ 2.32%
7-0 @ 2.06%
5-2 @ 1.66%
7-1 @ 1.44%
6-2 @ 0.99%
8-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 88.45%
1-1 @ 3.5%
2-2 @ 2.19%
0-0 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 7.8%
1-2 @ 1.22%
0-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 3.74%

How you voted: Ajax vs Willem II

Ajax
89.9%
Draw
7.2%
Willem II
2.9%
69
rhs 2.0


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