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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 73.73%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 10.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-3 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Ajax |
| 10.44% | 15.83% | 73.73% |
| Both teams to score 52.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.2% | 34.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.22% | 56.78% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.95% | 43.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.67% | 79.34% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.91% | 8.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.57% | 28.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 3.11% 1-0 @ 2.94% 2-0 @ 1.24% 3-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.06% Total : 10.44% | 1-1 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 3.91% 0-0 @ 3.48% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.13% Total : 15.83% | 0-2 @ 11.01% 1-2 @ 9.28% 0-3 @ 9.23% 0-1 @ 8.76% 1-3 @ 7.78% 0-4 @ 5.81% 1-4 @ 4.89% 2-3 @ 3.28% 0-5 @ 2.92% 1-5 @ 2.46% 2-4 @ 2.06% 0-6 @ 1.22% 2-5 @ 1.04% 1-6 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.95% Total : 73.73% |