Champions League
Nov 24, 2021 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rachid Ghezzal 22' goal
  • Cyle Larin 88' yellowcard
  • goal Sebastien Haller 54'
  • goal Sebastien Haller 69'
  • yellowcard Sebastien Haller 85'

Besiktas vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Besiktas

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 3, 2021 8.00pm
Sporting Lisbon 4 - 0 Besiktas

Ajax

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 3, 2021 8.00pm
Dortmund 1 - 3 Ajax

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Besiktas had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Besiktas win it was 1-0 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result

Besiktas 21.6%
Draw 24.12%
Ajax 54.27%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 49.61%
Under 2.5 50.39%
Over 3.5 27.67%
Under 3.5 72.33%

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5 62.07%
Under 0.5 37.93%
Over 1.5 25.29%
Under 1.5 74.7%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 81.53%
Under 0.5 18.47%
Over 1.5 50.33%
Under 1.5 49.67%

Score analysis

Besiktas 21.6%
Draw 24.12%
Ajax 54.27%
Besiktas
1-0 @ 6.79%
2-1 @ 5.56%
2-0 @ 3.29%
3-1 @ 1.8%
3-2 @ 1.52%
3-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 21.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 7.01%
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.12%
Ajax
0-1 @ 11.83%
0-2 @ 9.99%
1-2 @ 9.69%
0-3 @ 5.63%
1-3 @ 5.45%
2-3 @ 2.64%
0-4 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 2.3%
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 54.27%

Head to Head

Champions League
Sep 28, 2021 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Steven Berghuis 17' goal
  • Sebastien Haller 43' goal
  • yellowcard Sergen Yalcin 63'
  • yellowcard Can Bozdogan 76'
  • yellowcard Michy Batshuayi 90'+2'