Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 19, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

Inonu Stadium

Besiktas
1 - 4
Sporting Lisbon

Larin (24')
Vida (43'), Teixeira (47'), Ghezzal (58'), Pjanic (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Coates (15', 27'), Sarabia (44' pen.), Paulinho (89')
Porro (25'), Inacio (72'), Feddal (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Besiktas and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 36.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.24%) and 2-3 (4.84%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Besiktas	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
36.61%	21.1%	42.29%

Both teams to score 72.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.84%

26.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.58%

46.42%

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.29%

15.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.21%

44.79%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.4%

13.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.27%

40.73%

Score Analysis

Besiktas 36.61%

Sporting Lisbon 42.29%

Draw 21.1%

Besiktas	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-2 @ 4.49% 1-0 @ 3.96% 2-0 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 2.08% 4-3 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.86% Total : 36.61%	1-1 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 7.28% 3-3 @ 2.99% 0-0 @ 2.14% Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.1%	1-2 @ 7.87% 1-3 @ 5.24% 2-3 @ 4.84% 0-1 @ 4.26% 0-2 @ 4.25% 0-3 @ 2.83% 1-4 @ 2.61% 2-4 @ 2.42% 3-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.41% 1-5 @ 1.04% 2-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.06% Total : 42.29%

How you voted: Besiktas vs Sporting Lisbon

Besiktas

24.9%

Draw

18.9%

Sporting Lisbon

56.2%