Eredivisie | Gameweek 13

Nov 28, 2021 at 11.15am UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
0 - 1
Ajax

Engels (90+5'), Smeets (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tadic (36')
Neres (90+4'), Maduro (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 78.71%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 7.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.86%) and 0-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Ajax
7.5%	13.78%	78.71%

Both teams to score 46.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.01%

34.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.01%

56.99%

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.43%

49.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.64%

84.36%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.91%

7.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.14%

25.86%

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 7.5%

Ajax 78.71%

Draw 13.78%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Ajax
1-0 @ 2.47% 2-1 @ 2.29% Other @ 2.75% Total : 7.5%	1-1 @ 6.53% 0-0 @ 3.52% 2-2 @ 3.03% Other @ 0.7% Total : 13.78%	0-2 @ 12.31% 0-3 @ 10.86% 0-1 @ 9.3% 1-2 @ 8.64% 1-3 @ 7.62% 0-4 @ 7.19% 1-4 @ 5.04% 0-5 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 2.68% 1-5 @ 2.67% 2-4 @ 1.77% 0-6 @ 1.68% 1-6 @ 1.18% 2-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.03% Total : 78.71%