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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | FC Twente |
| 34.87% | 25.84% | 39.28% |
| Both teams to score 54.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.37% | 49.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.35% | 71.65% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.66% | 27.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.2% | 62.79% |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.15% | 24.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.55% | 59.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | FC Twente |
| 1-0 @ 8.81% 2-1 @ 7.95% 2-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.98% Total : 34.87% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.79% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 9.46% 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-2 @ 6.59% 1-3 @ 3.96% 0-3 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 2.57% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.66% Total : 39.28% |