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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | FC Twente |
| 40.74% | 26.06% | 33.19% |
| Both teams to score 53.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.13% | 50.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.25% | 72.75% |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.35% | 24.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.84% | 59.16% |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.01% | 28.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.11% | 64.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | FC Twente |
| 1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.66% Total : 40.74% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.14% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.85% 1-2 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 5.48% 1-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.19% |