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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Twente in this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Heracles |
41.8% | 25.98% | 32.22% |
Both teams to score 53.48% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.23% | 50.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.33% | 72.67% |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.94% | 24.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.66% | 58.34% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.43% | 29.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.4% | 65.6% |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Heracles |
1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 7.22% 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-0 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.88% Total : 41.79% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.67% 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | -1 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |