Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Twente in this match.
