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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Twente in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Heracles |
| 41.8% | 25.98% | 32.22% |
| Both teams to score 53.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.23% | 50.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.33% | 72.67% |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.94% | 24.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.66% | 58.34% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.43% | 29.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.4% | 65.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Heracles |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 7.22% 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-0 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.88% Total : 41.79% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.67% 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.22% |