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AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2021 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
PEC Zwolle

AZ
3 - 2
PEC Zwolle

de Wit (14'), Pavlidis (38', 52')
Midtsjo (39'), Sugawara (65')
FT(HT: 2-2)
De Wit (5', 13')
De Wit (55'), Langeler (55'), Huiberts (59'), van Polen (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 75.54%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 8.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.68%) and 3-0 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawPEC Zwolle
75.54%15.67%8.78%
Both teams to score 45.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.35%39.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38%62%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.15%8.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.68%30.32%
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.22%49.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.49%84.5%
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 75.52%
    PEC Zwolle 8.78%
    Draw 15.67%
AZ AlkmaarDrawPEC Zwolle
2-0 @ 12.95%
1-0 @ 10.68%
3-0 @ 10.46%
2-1 @ 9.04%
3-1 @ 7.3%
4-0 @ 6.35%
4-1 @ 4.43%
5-0 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 2.55%
5-1 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.54%
6-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 75.52%
1-1 @ 7.45%
0-0 @ 4.41%
2-2 @ 3.15%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 15.67%
0-1 @ 3.08%
1-2 @ 2.6%
0-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 8.78%

How you voted: AZ vs PEC Zwolle

AZ Alkmaar
82.1%
Draw
10.7%
PEC Zwolle
7.1%
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