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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for FC Twente in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Twente |
| 33.74% | 25.34% | 40.91% |
| Both teams to score 56.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.36% | 47.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.16% | 69.83% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% | 27.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.56% | 62.44% |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.87% | 23.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.01% | 56.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Twente |
| 1-0 @ 8.18% 2-1 @ 7.83% 2-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.05% Total : 33.74% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.26% 2-2 @ 5.73% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 9.17% 1-2 @ 8.77% 0-2 @ 6.71% 1-3 @ 4.28% 0-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.13% Total : 40.91% |