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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 65.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 13.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 65.37% | 21.3% | 13.33% |
| Both teams to score 43.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.14% | 51.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.39% | 73.61% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.87% | 15.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.3% | 43.7% |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.88% | 49.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.96% | 84.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 1-0 @ 14.03% 2-0 @ 13.25% 2-1 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 5.93% 4-0 @ 3.94% 4-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.11% 5-0 @ 1.49% 5-1 @ 1.06% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2% Total : 65.37% | 1-1 @ 9.98% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 3.35% Other @ 0.54% Total : 21.3% | 0-1 @ 5.28% 1-2 @ 3.55% 0-2 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.62% Total : 13.33% |