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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 41.46% | 25.44% | 33.09% |
| Both teams to score 55.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.76% | 48.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.61% | 70.39% |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.89% | 23.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.03% | 56.97% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.24% | 27.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.66% | 63.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 1-0 @ 9.4% 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 6.88% 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.46% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 5.65% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 8.22% 1-2 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 5.27% 1-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.87% Total : 33.09% |