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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.33%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Feyenoord |
20.89% | 21.85% | 57.26% |
Both teams to score 56.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.51% | 41.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.11% | 63.88% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.41% | 33.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.77% | 70.22% |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.72% | 14.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.93% | 42.07% |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 5.56% 1-0 @ 5.23% 2-0 @ 2.86% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-2 @ 1.97% 3-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.22% Total : 20.89% | 1-1 @ 10.18% 2-2 @ 5.41% 0-0 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.84% | 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-1 @ 9.33% 0-2 @ 9.08% 1-3 @ 6.43% 0-3 @ 5.89% 2-3 @ 3.51% 1-4 @ 3.13% 0-4 @ 2.87% 2-4 @ 1.71% 1-5 @ 1.22% 0-5 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.06% Total : 57.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |