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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 55.69%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 23.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.66%) and 0-1 (7.46%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 2-1 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
| 23.11% | 21.21% | 55.69% |
| Both teams to score 62.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.36% | 35.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.3% | 57.7% |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.67% | 28.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.94% | 64.06% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.18% | 12.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.84% | 39.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 5.93% 1-0 @ 4.58% 2-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.56% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.43% Total : 23.11% | 1-1 @ 9.41% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 3.63% 3-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.21% | 1-2 @ 9.67% 0-2 @ 7.66% 0-1 @ 7.46% 1-3 @ 6.62% 0-3 @ 5.25% 2-3 @ 4.17% 1-4 @ 3.4% 0-4 @ 2.7% 2-4 @ 2.14% 1-5 @ 1.4% 0-5 @ 1.11% 3-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.22% Total : 55.69% |