Eredivisie | Gameweek 15

Dec 12, 2021 at 3.45pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
1 - 2
AZ

Haller (73')
Martinez (33'), Gravenberch (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pavlidis (50'), Aboukhlal (83')
Wijndal (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.03%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 11.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for an AZ Alkmaar win it was 1-2 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Ajax	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
72.03%	16.22%	11.75%

Both teams to score 55.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.19%

32.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.49%

54.5%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.03%

7.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.88%

28.12%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.6%

39.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.9%

76.1%

Score Analysis

Ajax 72.03%

AZ Alkmaar 11.75%

Draw 16.22%

Ajax	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 9.36% 3-0 @ 8.47% 1-0 @ 7.94% 3-1 @ 7.89% 4-0 @ 5.36% 4-1 @ 4.99% 3-2 @ 3.68% 5-0 @ 2.71% 5-1 @ 2.53% 4-2 @ 2.33% 5-2 @ 1.18% 6-0 @ 1.14% 6-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.34% Total : 72.03%	1-1 @ 7.4% 2-2 @ 4.36% 0-0 @ 3.14% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.22%	1-2 @ 3.45% 0-1 @ 2.92% 0-2 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.35% 1-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.59% Total : 11.75%