Champions League
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Sebastien Haller
8'
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Antony
42'
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Perr Schuurs
44'
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Edson Alvarez
54'
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David Neres
58'
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Steven Berghuis
62'
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Daniel Braganca
7'
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Nuno Santos
22'
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Bruno Tabata
35'
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Bruno Tabata
78'
Ajax vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 6.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.72%) and 3-1 (5.53%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result
Ajax
47.37%
Draw
19.09%
Sporting Lisbon
33.54%
Both Teams to Score:
79.88%
Goals
Over 2.5
82.91%
Under 2.5
17.09%
Over 3.5
66.18%
Under 3.5
33.82%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
91.4%
Under 0.5
8.6%
Over 1.5
70.29%
Under 1.5
29.71%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5
87.4%
Under 0.5
12.6%
Over 1.5
61.3%
Under 1.5
38.7%
Score analysis
Ajax
47.37%
Draw
19.09%
Sporting Lisbon
33.54%
Ajax
2-1
@
6.76%
3-2 @ 5.72%
3-1 @ 5.53%
4-2 @ 3.51%
4-1 @ 3.39%
2-0 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 2.67%
1-0 @ 2.66%
4-3 @ 2.42%
5-2 @ 1.72%
5-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.64%
5-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 5.25%
Total : 47.37%
3-2 @ 5.72%
3-1 @ 5.53%
4-2 @ 3.51%
4-1 @ 3.39%
2-0 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 2.67%
1-0 @ 2.66%
4-3 @ 2.42%
5-2 @ 1.72%
5-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.64%
5-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 5.25%
Total : 47.37%
Draw
2-2
@
7%
1-1 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 3.95%
4-4 @ 1.26%
0-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 19.09%
1-1 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 3.95%
4-4 @ 1.26%
0-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 19.09%
Sporting Lisbon
1-2
@
5.71%
2-3 @ 4.83%
1-3 @ 3.94%
2-4 @ 2.5%
0-2 @ 2.33%
0-1 @ 2.25%
3-4 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.61%
2-5 @ 1.04%
Other @ 5.26%
Total : 33.54%
2-3 @ 4.83%
1-3 @ 3.94%
2-4 @ 2.5%
0-2 @ 2.33%
0-1 @ 2.25%
3-4 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.61%
2-5 @ 1.04%
Other @ 5.26%
Total : 33.54%
Head to Head
Champions League
-
Paulinho
33'
-
Joao Palhinha
41'
-
Tiago Tomas
83'
-
Zouhair Feddal
83'
-
Sebastien Haller
2'
-
Sebastien Haller
9'
-
Steven Berghuis
39'
-
Jurrien Maduro
45'+1'
-
Edson Alvarez
49'
-
Sebastien Haller
51'
-
Sebastien Haller
63'
-
Lisandro Martinez
86'