Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 19.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.89%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
19.61% | 24.16% | 56.23% |
Both teams to score 47.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.15% | 52.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.53% | 74.46% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.57% | 41.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.06% | 77.93% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.34% | 18.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.02% | 49.98% |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 6.81% 2-1 @ 5.04% 2-0 @ 3% 3-1 @ 1.48% 3-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.04% Total : 19.61% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 7.73% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 12.97% 0-2 @ 10.89% 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-3 @ 6.1% 1-3 @ 5.37% 0-4 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 2.26% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.11% Total : 56.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 44 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
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