Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Belenenses |
42.67% | 28.62% | 28.7% |
Both teams to score 44.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.19% | 61.81% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.4% | 81.59% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.3% | 28.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.48% | 64.52% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.05% | 37.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.28% | 74.72% |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Belenenses |
1-0 @ 13.59% 2-0 @ 8.49% 2-1 @ 8.22% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-1 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.1% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.59% Total : 42.67% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 10.89% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.62% | 0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 6.38% 0-2 @ 5.11% 1-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.66% Total : 28.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 8 | 32 | 33 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 11 |
15 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
16 | Nacional | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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