Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 2-1 (7.58%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (11.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 39.83% | 29.99% | 30.18% |
| Both teams to score 41.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.36% | 65.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.66% | 84.34% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.73% | 32.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.23% | 68.76% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.08% | 38.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.35% | 75.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 1-0 @ 14.2% 2-0 @ 8.03% 2-1 @ 7.58% 3-0 @ 3.03% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.77% Total : 39.83% | 1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 12.55% 2-2 @ 3.58% Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.98% | 0-1 @ 11.85% 1-2 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 5.59% 1-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.53% Total : 30.18% |