Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2

Aug 16, 2021 at 9.15pm UK

Estádio Nacional

Belenenses
1 - 2
Maritimo

Ndour (45')
Akas (41'), Phete (73'), Sithole (79'), Calila (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Vidigal (12'), Alipour (15')
Costa (30'), Rossi (40'), Alipour (64'), Vidigal (69'), Winck (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 1-0 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.

Result
Belenenses	Draw	Maritimo
32.63%	29.27%	38.1%

Both teams to score 43.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.08%

62.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.59%

82.41%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.43%

35.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.67%

72.33%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.08%

31.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.64%

68.36%

Score Analysis

Belenenses 32.63%

Maritimo 38.1%

Draw 29.26%

Belenenses	Draw	Maritimo
1-0 @ 11.73% 2-1 @ 6.93% 2-0 @ 6.07% 3-1 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.06% Total : 32.63%	1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.26%	0-1 @ 12.96% 1-2 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 7.4% 1-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.85% Total : 38.1%