Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 59.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 16.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.43%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Braga |
| 16.37% | 23.82% | 59.81% |
| Both teams to score 43.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.06% | 55.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.96% | 77.05% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.81% | 47.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.37% | 82.63% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.52% | 18.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.31% | 49.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 6.55% 2-1 @ 4.15% 2-0 @ 2.46% 3-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.17% Total : 16.37% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 0-0 @ 8.72% 2-2 @ 3.51% Other @ 0.54% Total : 23.81% | 0-1 @ 14.72% 0-2 @ 12.43% 1-2 @ 9.34% 0-3 @ 7% 1-3 @ 5.25% 0-4 @ 2.95% 1-4 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-5 @ 1% Other @ 2.93% Total : 59.81% |