Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.41%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (12.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Maritimo |
| 37.4% | 29.83% | 32.77% |
| Both teams to score 42.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.31% | 64.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.33% | 83.67% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.72% | 33.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.11% | 69.89% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.57% | 36.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.78% | 73.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 13.33% 2-1 @ 7.41% 2-0 @ 7.34% 3-1 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.39% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 12.12% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.82% | 0-1 @ 12.24% 1-2 @ 6.8% 0-2 @ 6.18% 1-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.92% Total : 32.77% |