Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Belenenses | Draw | Portimonense |
31.77% | 28.25% | 39.98% |
Both teams to score 46.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.37% | 59.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.05% | 79.95% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.57% | 34.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.86% | 71.14% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.85% | 29.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.92% | 65.08% |
Score Analysis |
Belenenses | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 7.03% 2-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.26% Total : 31.77% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.24% | 0-1 @ 12.37% 1-2 @ 8.13% 0-2 @ 7.63% 1-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 1.78% 1-4 @ 1.03% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.6% Total : 39.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 75 | 25 | 50 | 65 |
2 | Benfica | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 64 |
3 | Porto | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 58 |
4 | Braga | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 34 | 21 | 53 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 50 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 42 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 34 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 28 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 28 |
11 | Casa Pia | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 27 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 27 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 25 |
15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 23 |
17 | Vizela | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 21 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 56 | -31 | 19 |
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