Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belenenses | Draw | Portimonense |
| 31.77% | 28.25% | 39.98% |
| Both teams to score 46.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.37% | 59.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.05% | 79.95% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.57% | 34.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.86% | 71.14% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.85% | 29.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.92% | 65.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Belenenses | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 7.03% 2-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.26% Total : 31.77% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.24% | 0-1 @ 12.37% 1-2 @ 8.13% 0-2 @ 7.63% 1-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 1.78% 1-4 @ 1.03% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.6% Total : 39.98% |