Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Apr 9, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Portimonense3 - 0Guimaraes
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 40.2% | 29.33% | 30.46% |
| Both teams to score 43.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
