Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 15.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Belenenses |
| 61.78% | 22.79% | 15.43% |
| Both teams to score 43.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.35% | 53.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.85% | 75.14% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% | 16.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.98% | 47.02% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.91% | 47.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.45% | 82.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Belenenses |
| 1-0 @ 14.16% 2-0 @ 12.57% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 7.44% 3-1 @ 5.6% 4-0 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 2.11% 5-0 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.52% Total : 61.78% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 0-0 @ 7.98% 2-2 @ 3.57% Other @ 0.58% Total : 22.78% | 0-1 @ 6.01% 1-2 @ 4.02% 0-2 @ 2.26% 1-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.13% Total : 15.43% |