Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22

Mar 9, 2021 at 9.45pm UK

Estadio Municipal

Braga
3 - 0
Guimaraes

Piazon (5'), Ruiz (40'), Sporar (85')
Piazon (42')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ouattara (2'), Andre (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
53.74%	23.88%	22.37%

Both teams to score 52.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.42%

48.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.3%

70.7%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.01%

17.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.14%

48.86%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.83%

36.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.05%

72.95%

Score Analysis

Braga 53.74%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 22.37%

Draw 23.88%

Braga	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 11.16% 2-1 @ 9.74% 2-0 @ 9.57% 3-1 @ 5.57% 3-0 @ 5.47% 3-2 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.46% Total : 53.74%	1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 6.51% 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.88%	0-1 @ 6.62% 1-2 @ 5.77% 0-2 @ 3.37% 1-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.84% Total : 22.37%