Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Braga had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Benfica |
26.35% | 24.78% | 48.86% |
Both teams to score 53.76% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.24% | 48.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.13% | 70.87% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.19% | 32.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.63% | 69.37% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.01% | 19.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.83% | 52.17% |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 7.31% 2-1 @ 6.56% 2-0 @ 4.07% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 1.96% 3-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.5% Total : 26.35% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 6.56% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 9.47% 0-2 @ 8.5% 1-3 @ 5.08% 0-3 @ 4.56% 2-3 @ 2.83% 1-4 @ 2.05% 0-4 @ 1.84% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.84% Total : 48.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 75 | 25 | 50 | 65 |
2 | Benfica | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 64 |
3 | Porto | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 58 |
4 | Braga | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 34 | 21 | 53 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 50 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 42 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 34 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 28 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 28 |
11 | Casa Pia | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 27 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 27 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 25 |
15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 23 |
17 | Vizela | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 21 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 56 | -31 | 19 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |