Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Braga had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
