Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 49.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.53%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Braga |
| 24.48% | 26.16% | 49.37% |
| Both teams to score 47.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.44% | 55.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.27% | 76.73% |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.9% | 38.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.14% | 74.86% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% | 22.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.86% | 56.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 8.29% 2-1 @ 5.96% 2-0 @ 4% 3-1 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.43% 3-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.6% Total : 24.48% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 8.59% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 12.79% 0-2 @ 9.53% 1-2 @ 9.2% 0-3 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 4.57% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-4 @ 1.76% 1-4 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.89% Total : 49.36% |