Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.