Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 68.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 11.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.14%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Benfica |
| 11.95% | 19.7% | 68.34% |
| Both teams to score 44.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.53% | 48.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.4% | 70.6% |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.71% | 49.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.84% | 84.16% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.86% | 13.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.18% | 39.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 4.58% 2-1 @ 3.29% 2-0 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.46% Total : 11.95% | 1-1 @ 9.3% 0-0 @ 6.48% 2-2 @ 3.34% Other @ 0.58% Total : 19.7% | 0-2 @ 13.33% 0-1 @ 13.14% 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-3 @ 9.02% 1-3 @ 6.38% 0-4 @ 4.58% 1-4 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 2.26% 0-5 @ 1.86% 1-5 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.62% Total : 68.33% |