Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 2-1 (7.66%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | SC Farense |
| 39.66% | 29.73% | 30.61% |
| Both teams to score 42.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.25% | 64.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.29% | 83.71% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.09% | 31.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.64% | 68.35% |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.93% | 38.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.16% | 74.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | SC Farense |
| 1-0 @ 13.87% 2-0 @ 7.93% 2-1 @ 7.66% 3-0 @ 3.02% 3-1 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.86% Total : 39.65% | 1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 12.14% 2-2 @ 3.7% Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.72% | 0-1 @ 11.73% 1-2 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.65% Total : 30.61% |