Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.61%) and 1-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (12.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Nacional |
| 31.35% | 30.98% | 37.67% |
| Both teams to score 39.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.74% | 68.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.89% | 86.11% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.51% | 39.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.81% | 76.19% |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.97% | 35.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.23% | 71.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 12.85% 2-1 @ 6.26% 2-0 @ 5.97% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.85% 3-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.47% Total : 31.35% | 0-0 @ 13.83% 1-1 @ 13.48% 2-2 @ 3.29% Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.97% | 0-1 @ 14.51% 0-2 @ 7.61% 1-2 @ 7.07% 0-3 @ 2.66% 1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.66% |