Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21

Feb 26, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio D Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
2 - 1
Boavista

Rochinha (39'), Andre (63' pen.)
Almeida (58'), Pepelu (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mangas (17')
Mangas (62'), Gomes (79'), Perez (85'), Castro (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Boavista
50.99%	26.73%	22.29%

Both teams to score 44.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.68%

59.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.29%

79.72%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.57%

23.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.57%

57.43%

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.67%

42.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.28%

78.73%

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 50.98%

Boavista 22.29%

Draw 26.73%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Boavista
1-0 @ 14.39% 2-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 8.98% 3-0 @ 5.05% 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.83% 4-1 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.51% Total : 50.98%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 9.92% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.58% Total : 26.73%	0-1 @ 8.53% 1-2 @ 5.32% 0-2 @ 3.67% 1-3 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.11% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.1% Total : 22.29%