Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 1-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Famalicao |
| 30.33% | 29.81% | 39.86% |
| Both teams to score 41.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.94% | 65.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.07% | 83.93% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.53% | 38.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.78% | 75.21% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.05% | 31.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.6% | 68.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 11.73% 2-1 @ 6.4% 2-0 @ 5.61% 3-1 @ 2.04% 3-0 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.6% Total : 30.32% | 1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 12.28% 2-2 @ 3.65% Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.8% | 0-1 @ 14.02% 0-2 @ 8% 1-2 @ 7.65% 0-3 @ 3.04% 1-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.85% Total : 39.86% |