Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.3%) and 1-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 29.35% | 29.15% | 41.5% |
| Both teams to score 43.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.71% | 63.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.32% | 82.68% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.74% | 38.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.98% | 75.02% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.91% | 30.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.78% | 66.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 6.38% 2-0 @ 5.31% 3-1 @ 2.04% 3-0 @ 1.7% 3-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.62% Total : 29.34% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 3.83% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.15% | 0-1 @ 13.82% 0-2 @ 8.3% 1-2 @ 7.98% 0-3 @ 3.32% 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-4 @ 1% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.38% Total : 41.49% |