Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.3%) and 1-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Gil Vicente |
29.35% | 29.15% | 41.5% |
Both teams to score 43.17% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.71% | 63.29% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.32% | 82.68% |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.74% | 38.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.98% | 75.02% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.91% | 30.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.78% | 66.22% |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 6.38% 2-0 @ 5.31% 3-1 @ 2.04% 3-0 @ 1.7% 3-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.62% Total : 29.34% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 3.83% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.15% | 0-1 @ 13.82% 0-2 @ 8.3% 1-2 @ 7.98% 0-3 @ 3.32% 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-4 @ 1% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.38% Total : 41.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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